Bashley vs Cinderford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
61.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
AFT
4 - 0
BAS
93%
6%
2%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
BAN
8 - 0
BAS
86%
10%
3%
|
7 | 34 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 3
WAN
11%
17%
72%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 2
BIS
5%
13%
82%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
WIM
6 - 1
BAS
91%
7%
2%
|
7 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Cinderford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CIN
3 - 0
AFT
73%
16%
11%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
WIN
0 - 0
CIN
56%
22%
22%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
CIN
1 - 2
PAU
46%
24%
30%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CIN
4 - 3
MAR
62%
20%
18%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
BIS
0 - 2
CIN
22%
23%
55%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |