Bashley vs Chippenham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
36%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
BAS
0 - 1
CAM
31%
27%
42%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
HIT
2 - 3
BAS
70%
18%
13%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
SWI
1 - 2
BAS
53%
23%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
BAS
2 - 1
RED
63%
20%
17%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
OXF
3 - 0
BAS
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Chippenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
CHI
3 - 0
BED
71%
18%
11%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
CAM
3 - 0
CHI
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
FRO
0 - 2
CHI
56%
24%
21%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
CHI
0 - 1
BRA
38%
25%
37%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
WEY
2 - 0
CHI
35%
26%
40%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -2 |