Bashley vs Chesham United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
67.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
13%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 3
BAN
20%
22%
58%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
HUN
4 - 2
BAS
68%
20%
13%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 4
ARL
17%
24%
59%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 3
HUN
24%
25%
50%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
HIN
2 - 0
BAS
37%
24%
39%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Chesham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
CHE
2 - 1
RED
77%
16%
8%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
STN
0 - 5
CHE
24%
23%
53%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
BIG
0 - 1
CHE
34%
24%
42%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 3
CHE
22%
24%
54%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
CHE
3 - 0
CAM
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +2 |