Bashley vs Chesham United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
47.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 1
FRO
36%
26%
38%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 3
HIT
29%
24%
48%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
FRO
1 - 1
BAS
55%
23%
22%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
CAM
4 - 0
BAS
67%
19%
15%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 3
BAS
70%
17%
13%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Chesham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
HIT
1 - 1
CHE
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
CHE
4 - 2
STO
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
AFT
3 - 0
CHE
63%
20%
18%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
CHE
2 - 0
ARL
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
STA
1 - 1
CHE
38%
26%
37%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |