FA Cup Previa 1
Global 3-2
Bashley vs Calne Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.8%
17.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 1
BAS
17%
16%
67%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
BAS
2 - 0
CHR
11%
15%
75%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
BAS
0 - 2
CHR
43%
20%
37%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
BAS
8 - 2
WHI
41%
21%
38%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
HAM
3 - 0
BAS
77%
14%
10%
|
9 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Calne Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 1
BAS
17%
16%
67%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2020 |
CAL
0 - 4
CHI
10%
15%
75%
|
9 | 44 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
HAM
3 - 0
CAL
80%
13%
8%
|
9 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
HOR
7 - 2
CAL
79%
14%
7%
|
9 | 30 | 21 | 0 |