Bashley vs Burnham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2007 |
THA
2 - 3
BAS
18%
23%
59%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
BRA
1 - 1
BAS
24%
26%
51%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2007 |
ABI
0 - 0
BAS
19%
23%
58%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
DID
0 - 1
BAS
28%
24%
48%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
AFH
2 - 4
BAS
18%
23%
59%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Burnham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
BUR
0 - 1
WIN
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
BUR
0 - 2
PAU
48%
26%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 1
BUR
45%
25%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2007 |
BUR
4 - 0
ABI
59%
22%
20%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
BUR
1 - 0
BEA
75%
17%
9%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |