Bashley vs Barwell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
34.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
RED
2 - 2
BAS
43%
24%
33%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 0
ARL
40%
25%
36%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
STA
2 - 0
BAS
58%
21%
21%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 1
BRA
26%
23%
51%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
CHE
2 - 1
BAS
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Barwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 0
WEY
52%
22%
26%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 3
HEM
60%
20%
20%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 2
CAM
49%
24%
28%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
FRO
1 - 0
BAR
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
OXF
2 - 0
BAR
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |