Bashley vs Arlesey Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
35.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
STA
2 - 0
BAS
58%
21%
21%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 1
BRA
26%
23%
51%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
CHE
2 - 1
BAS
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 1
LEA
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
STO
5 - 0
BAS
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Arlesey Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
ARL
1 - 0
EVE
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
ARL
3 - 0
HEM
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
CIR
0 - 3
ARL
38%
25%
37%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
ARL
2 - 1
BAN
35%
26%
39%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
OXF
3 - 0
ARL
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |