Bashley vs AFC Wimbledon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
53.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
CRA
4 - 4
BAS
58%
21%
21%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
BAS
2 - 2
BUR
59%
21%
19%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2004 |
BAS
2 - 3
HOR
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
CRO
3 - 5
BAS
38%
24%
38%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
WHY
0 - 1
BAS
25%
24%
51%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
AFC
2 - 0
DUL
73%
18%
10%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
BRO
1 - 1
AFC
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2004 |
AFC
3 - 0
FLE
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 29 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
AFC
2 - 2
TOO
73%
18%
10%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
MET
1 - 1
AFC
22%
26%
52%
|
61 | 38 | 23 | 0 |