Basford United vs Gresley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
12.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
KID
2 - 1
BAS
45%
22%
33%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
BAS
3 - 0
RUS
40%
23%
37%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2017 |
LIN
0 - 0
BAS
54%
21%
25%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
BAS
2 - 1
LOU
77%
14%
9%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
CHA
4 - 2
BAS
27%
22%
50%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
SLA
5 - 3
GRE
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
GRE
0 - 2
NOR
30%
24%
46%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
BED
1 - 0
GRE
62%
19%
19%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
GRE
0 - 1
NEW
33%
24%
44%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 1
GRE
56%
20%
25%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |