Basford United vs Gresley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
24.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
BAS
1 - 1
SLA
26%
24%
49%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
RUG
1 - 0
BAS
37%
23%
40%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 2
CAR
79%
13%
8%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
SPA
2 - 3
BAS
54%
21%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
COA
0 - 1
BAS
58%
20%
22%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
SPA
0 - 3
GRE
61%
20%
19%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 1
GRE
58%
21%
21%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
GRE
2 - 3
MAR
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
LOU
1 - 3
GRE
31%
23%
47%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 4
DAV
65%
20%
15%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |