Basel vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
1º
10º
1º
47
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
STA
0 - 1
BAS
12%
18%
70%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
SCF
6 - 0
BAS
60%
21%
19%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SIO
1 - 1
BAS
31%
24%
45%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BAS
2 - 0
YVE
59%
22%
19%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SUB
0 - 8
BAS
3%
9%
88%
|
86 | 14 | 72 | -1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
LOC
0 - 3
ZUR
4%
13%
83%
|
85 | 20 | 65 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ZUR
1 - 1
FCL
48%
24%
29%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ZUG
0 - 2
ZUR
5%
14%
81%
|
85 | 39 | 46 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
VIT
2 - 0
ZUR
45%
25%
30%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ZUR
2 - 0
LAU
60%
21%
19%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |