Basel vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
29.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
6º
12º
9º
49
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 1
WIN
56%
23%
22%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
YOB
5 - 1
BAS
45%
24%
32%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 2
LAU
65%
21%
15%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
BAS
2 - 2
LUG
43%
24%
33%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
YVE
0 - 2
BAS
18%
22%
60%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ZUR
2 - 2
STA
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
YVE
3 - 2
ZUR
23%
24%
52%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ZUR
1 - 0
YOB
40%
25%
35%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
ZUR
0 - 2
WIN
64%
19%
17%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
LUG
2 - 0
ZUR
40%
26%
35%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |