Basel vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
STG
0 - 2
BAS
27%
24%
50%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
FCR
0 - 3
BAS
3%
10%
87%
|
84 | 23 | 61 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
QAR
0 - 0
BAS
19%
22%
59%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
LUG
1 - 1
BAS
17%
22%
61%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
BAS
1 - 1
YOB
42%
23%
35%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
ZUR
2 - 2
SER
42%
25%
34%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
KRI
0 - 1
ZUR
12%
17%
71%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
YOB
4 - 0
ZUR
60%
20%
20%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
STG
3 - 3
ZUR
44%
24%
32%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
ZUR
2 - 1
GCZ
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |