Basel vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
FCA
0 - 5
BAS
19%
21%
61%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
BAS
2 - 2
THU
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
FCL
1 - 2
BAS
21%
23%
56%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
BAS
0 - 0
STG
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
BAS
0 - 2
YOB
39%
24%
38%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
ZUR
1 - 1
WIN
58%
21%
20%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
ZUR
3 - 1
FCL
47%
24%
29%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
ZUR
0 - 0
SIO
44%
25%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
ZUR
0 - 1
SER
39%
25%
36%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
FCL
0 - 0
ZUR
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |