Basel vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
24.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SIO
0 - 1
BAS
22%
25%
53%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
VCF
5 - 0
BAS
61%
21%
18%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 0
THU
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
BAS
3 - 0
VCF
36%
27%
37%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
FCL
0 - 2
BAS
28%
25%
47%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ZUR
2 - 2
YOB
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
GCZ
2 - 0
ZUR
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ZUR
0 - 3
LAU
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
ZUR
0 - 0
THU
56%
24%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ZUR
0 - 0
BAS
33%
25%
42%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |