Basel vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
18%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
CLU
1 - 0
BAS
29%
24%
47%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
STG
2 - 1
BAS
23%
23%
54%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 2
CLU
68%
19%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 0
LAU
78%
15%
8%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
BAS
3 - 1
THU
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
ZUR
1 - 0
SIO
43%
28%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
SER
1 - 1
ZUR
31%
25%
45%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
YOB
4 - 1
ZUR
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
ZUR
4 - 0
LAU
62%
23%
16%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
STG
3 - 1
ZUR
28%
25%
47%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |