Basel vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
25.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
BAS
3 - 3
SIO
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
GCZ
2 - 2
BAS
27%
24%
49%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
BAS
2 - 0
NEX
81%
14%
6%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
YOB
1 - 1
BAS
44%
23%
32%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
BAS
3 - 0
FCL
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
ZUR
6 - 0
GCZ
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
ZUR
1 - 0
SDL
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
LAU
2 - 1
ZUR
15%
21%
64%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
SDL
1 - 1
ZUR
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
ZUR
2 - 3
SER
71%
19%
10%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |