Basel vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2007 |
STG
0 - 0
BAS
28%
24%
48%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
BAS
3 - 3
STG
68%
19%
14%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
ZUR
0 - 1
BAS
45%
24%
31%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
BAS
4 - 1
THU
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
FCA
0 - 1
BAS
14%
20%
67%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
ZUR
2 - 1
SIO
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
SIO
1 - 2
ZUR
24%
25%
51%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
ZUR
0 - 1
BAS
45%
24%
31%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
ZUR
3 - 0
STG
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
THU
0 - 1
ZUR
28%
25%
48%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |