Basel vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
31.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1999 |
STG
1 - 1
BAS
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
LAU
1 - 0
BAS
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
BAS
2 - 0
FCL
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 1999 |
YVE
0 - 1
BAS
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1999 |
SER
1 - 1
BAS
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1999 |
ZUR
1 - 0
SLI
67%
19%
14%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
ZUR
0 - 1
FCA
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
LUG
1 - 1
ZUR
32%
27%
41%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1999 |
SLI
0 - 3
ZUR
35%
25%
40%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
LAU
2 - 0
ZUR
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |