Basel vs Yverdon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.4%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
4.4%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2005 |
BAS
0 - 2
STR
67%
20%
13%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
ZUR
2 - 4
BAS
39%
25%
36%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
BAS
5 - 1
THU
62%
20%
18%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2005 |
SIR
0 - 1
BAS
31%
26%
44%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
SCH
1 - 2
BAS
16%
21%
64%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Yverdon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
YVE
4 - 1
NEX
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
YOB
2 - 2
YVE
80%
14%
7%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
YVE
2 - 0
GCZ
18%
22%
60%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
STG
2 - 1
YVE
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
YVE
0 - 2
ZUR
20%
24%
56%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |