Basel vs YF Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.1%
4-0
10.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.9%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
17.4%
9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9%
3.1%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1977 |
GCZ
0 - 1
BAS
56%
21%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1977 |
ETO
1 - 0
BAS
24%
28%
48%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1977 |
BAS
3 - 1
CSC
78%
14%
8%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1977 |
YOB
0 - 3
BAS
50%
22%
28%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 1977 |
BAS
3 - 1
ZUR
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
YF Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1977 |
YFJ
2 - 4
NEX
20%
26%
54%
|
51 | 79 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1977 |
YFJ
0 - 3
SER
17%
25%
58%
|
52 | 82 | 30 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 1977 |
ZUR
5 - 1
YFJ
85%
11%
4%
|
52 | 84 | 32 | 0 |