Basel vs Tobol Kostanay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
STG
2 - 1
BAS
38%
24%
39%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
OLD
0 - 3
BAS
5%
13%
83%
|
84 | 38 | 46 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 3
SLB
27%
24%
49%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
FCV
1 - 2
BAS
16%
22%
63%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 1
CSK
61%
22%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
TOB
2 - 0
OKZ
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
HON
0 - 0
TOB
32%
26%
43%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
TOB
2 - 1
HON
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
ATY
0 - 1
TOB
30%
25%
45%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
TOB
1 - 0
ATY
59%
24%
18%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |