Basel vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
19.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2019 |
BAS
3 - 2
FCL
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
YOB
3 - 1
BAS
57%
21%
22%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
BAS
3 - 0
ZUR
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
STG
0 - 3
BAS
18%
22%
60%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
ZUR
1 - 3
BAS
27%
24%
49%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2019 |
ZUR
3 - 0
THU
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
THU
1 - 0
LUG
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
THU
0 - 2
NEX
53%
24%
24%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
FCL
3 - 1
THU
34%
25%
41%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2019 |
FCL
0 - 1
THU
37%
24%
38%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |