Basel vs Thun analysis

Basel Thun
85 ELO 76
4% Tilt 17.6%
243º General ELO ranking 455º
Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
59.7%
Basel
20.6%
Draw
19.7%
Thun

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
Basel
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
19.7%
Win probability
Thun
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO progression

Basel
Thun
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Basel
Basel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 May. 2019
BAS
Basel
3 - 2
Luzern
FCL
67%
19%
14%
85 75 10 0
12 May. 2019
YOB
Young Boys
3 - 1
Basel
BAS
57%
21%
22%
85 87 2 0
04 May. 2019
BAS
Basel
3 - 0
Zurich
ZUR
65%
20%
15%
85 77 8 0
28 Apr. 2019
STG
St. Gallen
0 - 3
Basel
BAS
18%
22%
60%
85 70 15 0
25 Apr. 2019
ZUR
Zurich
1 - 3
Basel
BAS
27%
24%
49%
84 77 7 +1

Matches

Thun
Thun
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 May. 2019
ZUR
Zurich
3 - 0
Thun
THU
39%
25%
36%
77 77 0 0
11 May. 2019
THU
Thun
1 - 0
FC Lugano
LUG
46%
25%
29%
77 76 1 0
05 May. 2019
THU
Thun
0 - 2
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
53%
24%
24%
77 72 5 0
27 Apr. 2019
FCL
Luzern
3 - 1
Thun
THU
34%
25%
41%
78 74 4 -1
23 Apr. 2019
FCL
Luzern
0 - 1
Thun
THU
37%
24%
38%
77 75 2 +1