Basel vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
19.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
SIO
2 - 4
BAS
30%
25%
46%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
NEX
0 - 2
BAS
20%
22%
58%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
BAS
1 - 0
SIO
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
BAS
1 - 1
STG
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
GCZ
0 - 4
BAS
16%
21%
63%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
THU
3 - 2
LUG
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
THU
1 - 1
GCZ
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
STG
1 - 3
THU
32%
24%
44%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
THU
1 - 1
YOB
20%
22%
58%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
LUG
1 - 3
THU
35%
25%
40%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |