Basel vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
FCL
1 - 3
BAS
26%
23%
51%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 0
LPO
61%
22%
17%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
BAS
3 - 0
SIO
63%
22%
16%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
LPO
1 - 3
BAS
29%
24%
48%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
GCZ
2 - 3
BAS
28%
24%
48%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
YOB
3 - 1
THU
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2015 |
FCV
2 - 2
THU
38%
26%
37%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
THU
0 - 1
FCL
43%
25%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2015 |
THU
0 - 0
FCV
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
LUG
2 - 3
THU
33%
27%
39%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |