Basel vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
MUN
1 - 6
BAS
5%
12%
83%
|
84 | 40 | 44 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 0
FCV
69%
20%
12%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
YOB
4 - 2
BAS
40%
24%
37%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 1
FCP
31%
25%
44%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 1
SIO
67%
20%
13%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
THU
0 - 0
YOB
42%
25%
32%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
FCV
1 - 1
THU
32%
27%
41%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ZUR
0 - 1
THU
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
THU
1 - 1
FCA
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2015 |
THU
1 - 2
LAU
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | +1 |