Basel vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
BAS
3 - 0
VCF
36%
27%
37%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
FCL
0 - 2
BAS
28%
25%
47%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 0
FCL
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ZUR
0 - 0
BAS
33%
25%
42%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
RBS
1 - 2
BAS
42%
23%
35%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
THU
1 - 3
GCZ
36%
26%
39%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
ZUR
0 - 0
THU
56%
24%
21%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
STG
1 - 0
THU
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
THU
2 - 2
LAU
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
FCA
1 - 4
THU
43%
26%
32%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |