Basel vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
10%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
ZEN
1 - 0
BAS
41%
25%
35%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
BAS
3 - 0
YOB
54%
22%
24%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 0
ZEN
43%
24%
33%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SER
1 - 2
BAS
18%
22%
60%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
THU
1 - 2
BAS
28%
25%
47%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
STG
0 - 0
THU
52%
26%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
THU
0 - 4
ZUR
31%
24%
45%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
FCL
0 - 0
THU
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
THU
1 - 2
BAS
28%
25%
47%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
THU
4 - 0
SIO
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |