Basel vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
17.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2005 |
SIR
0 - 1
BAS
31%
26%
44%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
SCH
1 - 2
BAS
16%
21%
64%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2005 |
BAS
1 - 1
YOB
62%
20%
18%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2005 |
BAS
5 - 0
SIR
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
GCZ
2 - 2
BAS
41%
24%
35%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2005 |
THU
1 - 0
SPA
52%
25%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
FCA
2 - 1
THU
29%
25%
47%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
SCH
0 - 4
THU
26%
26%
48%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2005 |
ARS
2 - 1
THU
81%
13%
6%
|
82 | 94 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
YOB
0 - 0
THU
51%
23%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |