Basel vs FCSB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
FCA
1 - 1
BAS
26%
24%
50%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ZUR
0 - 0
BAS
29%
25%
46%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
STB
1 - 1
BAS
30%
24%
45%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
BAS
3 - 0
STG
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
LAU
1 - 2
BAS
14%
22%
65%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
FCSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
COR
1 - 1
STB
21%
27%
52%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
STB
2 - 0
PTI
70%
19%
12%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 2
STB
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
STB
1 - 1
BAS
30%
24%
45%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
STB
4 - 0
VIT
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |