Basel vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
ZUR
1 - 1
BAS
40%
25%
35%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2008 |
SCP
2 - 0
BAS
52%
24%
25%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
BAS
3 - 0
NEX
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
YOB
2 - 0
BAS
45%
24%
32%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2007 |
HSV
1 - 1
BAS
46%
23%
31%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
SCP
2 - 0
EST
73%
18%
9%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2008 |
SCP
2 - 0
BAS
52%
24%
25%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
SCP
2 - 1
MAR
72%
18%
10%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
BEL
1 - 0
SCP
22%
26%
52%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2008 |
SCP
3 - 1
PEN
81%
14%
6%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |