Basel vs Sarajevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
BAS
3 - 0
STG
72%
17%
12%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
ZUR
2 - 2
BAS
43%
24%
33%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
NEX
0 - 3
BAS
20%
22%
58%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2007 |
SAR
1 - 2
BAS
31%
24%
45%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
FCL
0 - 9
BAS
7%
14%
80%
|
85 | 29 | 56 | 0 |
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
SAR
3 - 0
ZEP
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
SAR
2 - 4
MOD
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
POS
0 - 0
SAR
35%
28%
38%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2007 |
SAR
1 - 2
BAS
31%
24%
45%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
SAR
2 - 2
SIR
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |