Europa Conference League Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
Basel vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
29%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
ZUR
1 - 1
BAS
33%
25%
42%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
BAS
2 - 4
YOB
38%
24%
38%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
BAS
2 - 0
WIN
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
YOB
3 - 0
BAS
50%
23%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
SBR
2 - 2
BAS
31%
24%
45%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
NIC
0 - 2
PSG
16%
20%
64%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ANG
1 - 1
NIC
18%
25%
57%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
NIC
1 - 1
LOR
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
NIC
3 - 1
SHF
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
NAN
2 - 2
NIC
34%
28%
38%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |