Basel vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.9%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
13%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
5.5%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
YOB
1 - 1
BAS
44%
23%
32%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
BAS
3 - 0
FCL
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
STG
0 - 0
BAS
16%
22%
63%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
BAS
5 - 1
THU
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
ZUR
2 - 2
BAS
38%
25%
37%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
NEX
0 - 3
FCL
37%
26%
37%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
NEX
0 - 2
SIO
29%
24%
47%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -2 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
SIO
0 - 0
NEX
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
NEX
1 - 2
YOB
20%
22%
58%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 1
NEX
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |