Basel vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
8.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
BEL
1 - 1
BAS
24%
23%
53%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
BAS
5 - 0
FCV
75%
16%
9%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
ZUR
0 - 1
BAS
42%
25%
33%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
SIO
0 - 4
BAS
26%
24%
50%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
BAS
3 - 1
FCA
71%
19%
10%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
NEX
2 - 3
YOB
25%
23%
52%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
GCZ
1 - 1
NEX
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ZUR
3 - 0
NEX
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
NEX
3 - 1
FCV
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
BEL
2 - 0
NEX
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |