Basel vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2004 |
BAS
6 - 0
FCA
74%
16%
10%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
BAS
2 - 1
YOB
62%
20%
18%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
GCZ
0 - 2
BAS
48%
23%
30%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
NEX
3 - 1
BAS
28%
24%
48%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
BAS
0 - 0
STG
68%
18%
14%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2004 |
SCH
1 - 1
NEX
28%
26%
46%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
NEX
2 - 1
GCZ
32%
24%
45%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
WIL
3 - 0
NEX
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
NEX
3 - 1
BAS
28%
24%
48%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
YOB
3 - 1
NEX
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |