Basel vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
14%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2003 |
YOB
2 - 3
BAS
32%
23%
45%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
BAS
2 - 1
ZUR
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
BAS
3 - 0
NEX
66%
19%
15%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
SER
0 - 4
BAS
41%
25%
35%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2003 |
BAS
4 - 0
THU
76%
15%
9%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2003 |
NEX
2 - 0
STG
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
GCZ
0 - 1
NEX
67%
19%
15%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
BAS
3 - 0
NEX
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
NEX
2 - 0
ZUR
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2003 |
WIL
1 - 1
NEX
47%
23%
30%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |