Basel vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
13.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2003 |
BAS
3 - 1
ZUR
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
WIL
4 - 5
BAS
30%
23%
46%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
YOB
2 - 0
BAS
36%
25%
40%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
BAS
3 - 0
YOB
68%
18%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2003 |
BAS
3 - 0
SCH
83%
12%
6%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2003 |
NEX
1 - 3
SER
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
THU
2 - 1
NEX
38%
25%
37%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
GCZ
2 - 2
NEX
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
NEX
0 - 1
GCZ
36%
24%
40%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2003 |
NEX
3 - 2
GCZ
37%
24%
40%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |