Basel vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
BAS
1 - 1
FCA
76%
15%
9%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
STG
2 - 2
BAS
31%
24%
45%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2006 |
STR
2 - 2
BAS
37%
26%
37%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
BAS
2 - 1
GCZ
61%
20%
19%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2006 |
BAS
2 - 0
STR
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
MID
4 - 3
BOL
45%
26%
30%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2006 |
CHA
0 - 0
MID
47%
26%
27%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
BBU
3 - 2
MID
48%
26%
27%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2006 |
ROM
2 - 1
MID
61%
22%
17%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
CHA
2 - 1
MID
43%
26%
31%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |