UCL Qualifying Third Round Final
Global 4-3
Basel vs Maccabi Tel Aviv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
22.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 0
LAU
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
GCZ
1 - 1
BAS
29%
25%
46%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
BAS
3 - 1
FCA
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 3
BVB
17%
21%
62%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 0
STG
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Maccabi Tel Aviv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2013 |
MTA
2 - 1
GYO
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
GYO
0 - 2
MTA
42%
25%
33%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
MTA
0 - 3
BNE
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2013 |
HAP
2 - 4
MTA
47%
25%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
MTA
1 - 0
IKS
54%
24%
23%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |