Basel vs Luzern analysis

Basel Luzern
85 ELO 85
-6.7% Tilt 20.4%
243º General ELO ranking 279º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
39.1%
Basel
25%
Draw
35.9%
Luzern

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
Basel
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
35.9%
Win probability
Luzern
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Basel
+23%
-4%
Luzern

Points and table prediction

Basel
Their league position
Luzern
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
10º
51
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Basel
61
61
100%
Servette
55
55
100%
Young Boys
53
53
100%
Luzern
51
51
100%
FC Lugano
49
49
100%
Lausanne Sports
47
47
0%
St. Gallen
47
47
100%
Zurich
47
47
0%
Sion
36
36
100%
Grasshopper
10º
33
33
10º
100%
Yverdon
11º
33
33
11º
100%
Winterthur
12º
30
30
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Basel
Luzern
Play-offs for the title
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Basel
Luzern
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Basel
Basel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Feb. 2025
ZUR
Zurich
0 - 1
Basel
BAS
39%
24%
37%
85 85 0 0
26 Jan. 2025
BAS
Basel
4 - 1
Sion
SIO
44%
25%
30%
85 84 1 0
19 Jan. 2025
LUG
FC Lugano
2 - 2
Basel
BAS
41%
24%
35%
85 85 0 0
15 Jan. 2025
BAS
Basel
3 - 0
Schaffhausen
SCH
74%
17%
10%
85 67 18 0
11 Jan. 2025
BAS
Basel
2 - 0
Thun
THU
53%
23%
24%
85 80 5 0

Matches

Luzern
Luzern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Feb. 2025
FCL
Luzern
2 - 0
St. Gallen
STG
38%
25%
37%
85 85 0 0
26 Jan. 2025
FCL
Luzern
3 - 1
Zurich
ZUR
42%
26%
32%
85 85 0 0
19 Jan. 2025
LAU
Lausanne Sports
0 - 0
Luzern
FCL
38%
25%
37%
85 84 1 0
11 Jan. 2025
WIN
Winterthur
1 - 5
Luzern
FCL
30%
23%
46%
85 78 7 0
08 Jan. 2025
FCL
Luzern
3 - 0
Schaffhausen
SCH
74%
17%
9%
85 67 18 0