Basel vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
36.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
73
1º
1º
1º
52
5º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
73 | 12 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 8 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 8 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 6 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 5 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
52 | 1 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
YOB
6 - 2
BAS
41%
24%
36%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
LAU
2 - 3
BAS
40%
24%
36%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
LUG
2 - 5
BAS
41%
24%
35%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
BAS
5 - 1
SER
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
BAS
3 - 2
LAU
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
FCL
3 - 4
SER
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2025 |
YOB
2 - 1
FCL
42%
24%
34%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
FCL
1 - 1
LAU
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
FCL
0 - 2
LUG
42%
25%
33%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
SER
2 - 1
FCL
37%
25%
38%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |