Basel vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
11%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
BAS
4 - 2
KAI
64%
19%
17%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
BAS
3 - 1
ZUR
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
STG
0 - 2
BAS
27%
24%
50%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
FCR
0 - 3
BAS
3%
10%
87%
|
84 | 23 | 61 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
QAR
0 - 0
BAS
19%
22%
59%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
FCL
2 - 3
LUG
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
SIO
1 - 1
FCL
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BUO
1 - 2
FCL
4%
12%
85%
|
76 | 30 | 46 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
FCL
1 - 1
GCZ
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
FCL
1 - 1
LAU
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |