Basel vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.8%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
8.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
BAS
1 - 3
CSK
65%
20%
14%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
SER
1 - 0
BAS
20%
22%
59%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
BAS
3 - 2
ANO
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
BAS
2 - 2
FCV
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
OSI
1 - 2
BAS
24%
24%
52%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
FCL
2 - 2
LAU
39%
25%
37%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
LUG
2 - 1
FCL
40%
27%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
THU
0 - 1
FCL
44%
24%
31%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
FCL
6 - 1
WOH
83%
12%
5%
|
75 | 46 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
GCZ
1 - 1
FCL
30%
25%
45%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |