Basel vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2020 |
THU
0 - 0
BAS
14%
20%
67%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
BAS
4 - 4
LUG
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
STG
0 - 5
BAS
25%
22%
53%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
SER
2 - 2
BAS
20%
22%
58%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2020 |
BAS
4 - 0
ZUR
65%
20%
15%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2020 |
FCL
2 - 1
ZUR
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
YOB
1 - 0
FCL
76%
15%
9%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
FCL
1 - 2
SIO
56%
24%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
FCL
1 - 2
NEX
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2020 |
STG
4 - 1
FCL
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |