Basel vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
BAS
4 - 0
ZUR
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
YOB
1 - 1
BAS
52%
22%
26%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2019 |
BAS
5 - 0
KRA
49%
24%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
MEY
0 - 3
BAS
5%
11%
85%
|
85 | 44 | 41 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
BAS
2 - 1
LUG
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2019 |
FCL
1 - 0
NEX
49%
25%
27%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
LUG
1 - 1
FCL
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
WOH
0 - 4
FCL
8%
14%
79%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
FCL
2 - 2
YOB
16%
22%
62%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
SIO
2 - 1
FCL
44%
26%
31%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |