Basel vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
15.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
YOB
7 - 1
BAS
58%
21%
21%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
ECH
2 - 7
BAS
6%
13%
82%
|
84 | 41 | 43 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
BAS
1 - 1
THU
68%
19%
14%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2018 |
APO
1 - 0
BAS
44%
24%
32%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
ZUR
1 - 1
BAS
33%
25%
42%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
ZUR
1 - 0
FCL
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SER
3 - 3
FCL
20%
21%
59%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
FCL
2 - 1
GCZ
49%
24%
26%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
STG
0 - 1
FCL
36%
25%
39%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
FCG
1 - 9
FCL
1%
3%
96%
|
76 | 10 | 66 | 0 |