Basel vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
17.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
ZUR
4 - 1
BAS
28%
24%
48%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2018 |
BAS
5 - 1
YOB
45%
24%
31%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
STG
2 - 4
BAS
22%
24%
55%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
BAS
6 - 1
THU
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
SIO
2 - 2
BAS
25%
24%
51%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
FCL
1 - 1
GCZ
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2018 |
STG
2 - 3
FCL
31%
26%
43%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
FCL
2 - 0
LUG
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
YOB
2 - 1
FCL
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
FCL
2 - 1
ZUR
41%
26%
34%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |