Basel vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
22%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
BAS
4 - 3
LAU
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
THU
0 - 2
BAS
23%
23%
55%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
BAS
4 - 0
LUG
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
BAS
1 - 0
ESB
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
BAS
2 - 0
CHI
82%
13%
5%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
FCL
1 - 1
THU
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
FCL
4 - 1
YOB
36%
25%
40%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
LAU
4 - 4
FCL
21%
23%
56%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
FCL
5 - 2
KRI
74%
16%
9%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
STU
3 - 0
FCL
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |